There is an old adage in the Market which is, what every one wishes for to happen then it rarely happens that way.This would also hold true to political outcomes too or wishes of the financial community.The topic I refer to is Modi being elected as the next prime minister.
The saying, Dilly door hai, holds true to this assumption too, yes it is an assumption at the moment.The mind and the Psyche of the Indian voter is ever changing and one finds it hard to discern what they really want.If you need a better example of this then take a look at UP politics and who rules in that most populous state of the nation.
I find the main propagators of the Modi wave are the foreign news agency, read Reuters report on any subject, the writer would bring in Modi and his assumption of the prime minister ship.They do this religiously day in and out.Now the cause has taken up by various rating agencies and foreign brokers.They really need a re-assesment of their analyst's skill.
If one sits down and calculates the number of seats that BJP can get in the coming elections then it would be obvious that MISSION 272 is a far dream.They will have to fall at the feet of the regional parties, who will take their pound of flesh, would be funny to see A.Raja as a minister in BJP government if they form one that is....
The in fighting in the party, though very subtle at the moment can flare up in the open when the results are out.Modi is not a done deal, and as we are a nation of comprises there will be a consensus candidate especially if the mandate if fractured and many other regional parties need to be approached.Many do not or will not do business with Modi. RSS factor, as far as Modi is concerned, he is a loose cannon who will not toe their line. Now that is something they dread, and will not let it happen.
The arithmetic at the moment does not add up to a clear mandate, fractured is the word, rating agencies and brokers are the last group of people who need to be trusted in providing a clear unbiased view.Will they change the rating over night if Modi comes to power, a question which needs to be addressed to Moody's who have an extra O in their name and sounds similar to MODI, .......well nothing is a done deal till the fat lady sings.
Hence let the people of India vote for whomsoever they wish to be elected, and do not propagate one candidate.This is done with a vested interest and not your mandate at all.
The saying, Dilly door hai, holds true to this assumption too, yes it is an assumption at the moment.The mind and the Psyche of the Indian voter is ever changing and one finds it hard to discern what they really want.If you need a better example of this then take a look at UP politics and who rules in that most populous state of the nation.
I find the main propagators of the Modi wave are the foreign news agency, read Reuters report on any subject, the writer would bring in Modi and his assumption of the prime minister ship.They do this religiously day in and out.Now the cause has taken up by various rating agencies and foreign brokers.They really need a re-assesment of their analyst's skill.
If one sits down and calculates the number of seats that BJP can get in the coming elections then it would be obvious that MISSION 272 is a far dream.They will have to fall at the feet of the regional parties, who will take their pound of flesh, would be funny to see A.Raja as a minister in BJP government if they form one that is....
The in fighting in the party, though very subtle at the moment can flare up in the open when the results are out.Modi is not a done deal, and as we are a nation of comprises there will be a consensus candidate especially if the mandate if fractured and many other regional parties need to be approached.Many do not or will not do business with Modi. RSS factor, as far as Modi is concerned, he is a loose cannon who will not toe their line. Now that is something they dread, and will not let it happen.
The arithmetic at the moment does not add up to a clear mandate, fractured is the word, rating agencies and brokers are the last group of people who need to be trusted in providing a clear unbiased view.Will they change the rating over night if Modi comes to power, a question which needs to be addressed to Moody's who have an extra O in their name and sounds similar to MODI, .......well nothing is a done deal till the fat lady sings.
Hence let the people of India vote for whomsoever they wish to be elected, and do not propagate one candidate.This is done with a vested interest and not your mandate at all.